LONDON (Labour Buzz) - The poll is the first to include Labour affiliates and registered supporters as well as party members and gives Starmer and Angela Raynor commanding leads in the race for leader and deputy.
Starmer is set to seal the deal in the first round with 53% of the vote with Rebecca Long Bailey and Lisa Nandy trailing a long way behind with 31% and 16% respectively. If it were to go to a second round, Starmer would almost double Long Bailey’s tally with 66% versus 34%.
The deputy race is a little closer although not by much. With 47% of the vote, Angela Raynor is a whisker away from a first round stoppage with Richard Burgon her closest challenger on 19%. Dawn Rosena Allin Khan and Dawn Butler have 16% and 13% respectively. Ian Murray, who recently won the endorsement of Tony Blair, is bringing up the rear with 9%.
Raynor is then expected to win in the second round with 52% of the vote and would top 70% if it came to a straight shoot out with Burgon.
Labour’s preferential voting system asks voters to rank the candidates in order of preference. If no candidate secures 50%, the one with the fewest votes is eliminated and the votes redistributed until we have a winner.
The poll is fantastic news for Starmer who is already considered a nailed on favourite showing him winning on first preference alone. He leads both with people who joined the party before Jeremy Corbyn became leader and those who joined after the 2019 General Election, but not those who joined in between.
The poll shows relatively little difference than the first poll in January with all three candidates holding their positions.
(Written by Tom Cropper, edited by Michael O'Sullivan)